Loipoi
0x9df7bca1c997825a0ef64f1923c0b62cc9215cd7
- Realised P&L
- $-46.61
- Volume
- $498.88
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $16.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.510 | 0.157 | $12.26 | −$27.74 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.155 | $3.25 | −$6.75 |
| Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.265 | $1.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.83 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.674 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.649Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
- +$4.79at 0.679Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
- +$1.31at 0.607Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$0.74at 0.696Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$0.71at 0.756Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:43 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 19:41 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 18:01 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:52 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 12:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 14:21 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.109 | $3.54 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.1539999975 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 19:34 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 17:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4629999958 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 13:38 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 07-31 19:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 16:26 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 16:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7639998833 | $5.00 |