PolyBot

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Traders

SAPA9588

0x9ddcb819e97bb16361e5cdb594c900989723f21c

Realised P&L
$-25.5k
Volume
$547.5k
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5820.565$3.4k−$99.58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7290.745$2.8k+$60.79
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.705$517.00−$11.00
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00−$456.18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6370.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$64.00
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5240.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$59.97
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6500.000$0.00−$39.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$64.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:53Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799999992$15.00
10-31 18:52FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5SELL0.223912413$15.44
10-31 18:34Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999993$528.00
10-31 18:34Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$528.36
10-31 17:26Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799999924$43.00
10-31 17:25FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5BUY0.5799999959$40.00
10-31 17:24Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$84.00
10-29 04:33Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5888262846$673.00
10-29 04:32Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$700.00
10-29 04:28Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799999999$2.7k
10-29 04:27Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7288315553$2.7k
10-27 02:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9433587153$6.5k
10-26 00:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7149999958$88.85
10-26 00:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$89.73
10-20 20:15Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.5799999768$4.00