magnus773
0x9dd161edd857cfdd2465a27968dcf339ddef1798
- Realised P&L
- $143.71
- Volume
- $359.5k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $764.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$380.00at 0.525FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)
- +$278.00at 0.050Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$102.82at 0.339Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$100.00at 0.140US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$74.87at 0.914Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 19:45 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.87 |
| 04-18 14:35 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0659999698 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 14:04 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.51 |
| 04-01 15:45 | Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.23 |
| 04-01 15:34 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? | SELL | 0.8021899303 | $35.69 |
| 04-01 14:29 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $29.90 |
| 04-01 14:24 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.71 |
| 03-29 16:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $872.00 |
| 03-26 13:28 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 03-25 16:40 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $30.88 |
| 03-25 09:07 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 03-21 06:53 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.76 |
| 03-20 03:16 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.45 |
| 03-19 07:58 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $2.05 |
| 03-16 03:32 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $131.75 |