PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

magnus773

0x9dd161edd857cfdd2465a27968dcf339ddef1798

Realised P&L
$143.71
Volume
$359.5k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$764.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2340.190$758.00$178.00
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.003$3.38$49.94
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$1.75$5.32
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.9850.994$1.01+$0.01
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 20, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Canadiens0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$50.99
Will SC Freiburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? · No0.7000.000$0.00$105.35
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$6.01
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? · Yes0.6850.000$0.00$371.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-19 19:45Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?SELL0.027$0.87
04-18 14:35Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?BUY0.0659999698$2.00
04-04 14:04Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.013$2.51
04-01 15:45Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?SELL0.82$13.23
04-01 15:34Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?SELL0.8021899303$35.69
04-01 14:29Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.013$29.90
04-01 14:24Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.07$5.71
03-29 16:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$872.00
03-26 13:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.08$24.00
03-25 16:40Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.044$30.88
03-25 09:07US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.15$45.00
03-21 06:53Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.36$0.76
03-20 03:16Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.045$0.45
03-19 07:58Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.041$2.05
03-16 03:32Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.31$131.75