PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KissingGolden

0x9dcb14bbc7e9c465dea6363fd3bd4b08c857628b

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$38.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.3600.855$2.2k+$1.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.845$1.7k+$212.56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8210.977$1.3k+$209.81
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7560.965$747.60+$161.22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.655$314.40+$16.80
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.425$306.00+$3.60
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.625$300.00−$7.20
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.6900.750$152.17+$12.17
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5900.660$13.20+$1.40
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.0900.009$7.06−$59.80
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$160.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$50.16
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$66.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:32Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.69$139.99
10-05 13:33Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.62$297.60
10-05 13:30Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$307.20
10-02 15:26Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$302.40
08-03 17:45Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.35$15.07
07-30 16:39Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.36$926.28
07-30 04:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7399999992$600.00
07-30 03:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7399999349$10.00
07-21 11:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.26$207.76
07-21 11:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.74$888.00
07-19 18:27Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.038$50.16
06-19 19:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.13$100.23
04-09 17:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.29$435.00
04-07 23:35Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?SELL0.07$139.34
04-07 23:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.025$28.31