KissingGolden
0x9dcb14bbc7e9c465dea6363fd3bd4b08c857628b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.00at 0.560Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
- +$92.25at 0.510Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$84.70at 0.891Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$50.00at 0.500Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?
- +$14.89at 0.360US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:32 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.69 | $139.99 |
| 10-05 13:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $297.60 |
| 10-05 13:30 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $307.20 |
| 10-02 15:26 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $302.40 |
| 08-03 17:45 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $15.07 |
| 07-30 16:39 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $926.28 |
| 07-30 04:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $600.00 |
| 07-30 03:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 11:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $207.76 |
| 07-21 11:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $888.00 |
| 07-19 18:27 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.038 | $50.16 |
| 06-19 19:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $100.23 |
| 04-09 17:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $435.00 |
| 04-07 23:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $139.34 |
| 04-07 23:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.025 | $28.31 |