PolyBot

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Traders

Aftertaly

0x9dc5c4f2372c3d08d2f6c4c4606f6f7c75f058fb

Realised P&L
$129.85
Volume
$114.3k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$37.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.155$28.18$31.82
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0990.030$6.14$13.86
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes0.0800.023$2.93$7.26
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$386.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.0440.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$18.86
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$20.00
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7250.000$0.00$110.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$60.00
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-29 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-29 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.1099999962$25.00
07-29 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2777929332$100.00
07-29 19:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.089999997$25.00
07-29 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5499999956$25.00
07-29 19:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.0943584943$25.00
07-29 19:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.209999974$5.00
07-29 19:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.2099999934$25.00
07-13 23:40Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.6$207.19
07-13 23:36Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?SELL0.986$210.96
07-06 04:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1719999911$15.00
07-06 04:18Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0489999977$20.00
06-29 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-29 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4799999808$5.00