PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Granddaughter

0x9db3ff59e5c13760a444a2fec13a35a23af21d38

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$126.7k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$210.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3270.573$117.67+$50.46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4800.345$89.44−$34.93
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2200.100$3.01−$3.61
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2240.013$0.45−$7.26
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.230$0.33−$0.12
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01−$0.90
Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$3.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:38Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.47$2.97
09-21 21:33Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.523$123.51
08-19 07:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.327$67.21
08-12 16:59Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?SELL0.1292023082$19.03
08-12 16:58Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?SELL0.111$49.05
08-12 14:56Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.015$8.40
08-09 17:31Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?SELL0.701156738$36.37
08-09 17:30Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?SELL0.88$17.60
08-08 22:26Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?SELL0.48$13.92
08-08 21:10Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?SELL0.9$7.55
08-08 21:07Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?SELL0.8416733206$48.49
08-08 20:54Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ASELL0.49$10.25
08-08 20:40Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?SELL0.56$8.88
08-08 19:09Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ABUY0.48$24.64
08-08 19:06Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ABUY0.58$11.84