0x9DaE0d44740F23E82125652dEC04F928af2Cb9D2-1779779636772
0x9dae0d44740f23e82125652dec04f928af2cb9d2
- Realised P&L
- $-11.64
- Volume
- $214.60
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.018 | $1.08 | −$3.92 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.036 | $0.73 | −$0.83 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.050 | 0.036 | $0.36 | −$0.14 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.003 | $0.25 | −$1.95 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:51 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 07-27 13:49 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.081331118 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 12:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |