PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mazdaahura

0x9da44ef602f0324ba331a6241d8d36dd15377403

Realised P&L
$-850.38
Volume
$54.7k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$613.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1080.018$256.29−$1.2k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1790.041$226.94−$773.85
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7701.000$129.87+$29.87
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.4340.000$0.00−$100.86
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$250.00
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00−$300.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes0.6490.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 14:27Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-07 14:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.147$72.06
06-26 13:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1519999976$50.00
06-26 13:13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
06-26 13:12Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1019999983$50.00
06-26 13:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.055999999$50.00
06-26 12:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.12$42.48
04-12 22:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY0.8599999996$197.76
04-07 11:07Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.4489306461$200.00
04-06 10:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.64$97.12
04-06 10:49Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?BUY0.4589897623$100.00
04-06 10:49Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?BUY0.4384369706$80.00
04-02 22:06Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?BUY0.2799999981$100.00
04-02 22:04Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.173028342$100.00
04-02 22:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5699999991$100.00