mazdaahura
0x9da44ef602f0324ba331a6241d8d36dd15377403
- Realised P&L
- $-850.38
- Volume
- $54.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $613.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.018 | $256.29 | −$1.2k |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.041 | $226.94 | −$773.85 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $129.87 | +$29.87 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.86 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.649 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$713.69at 0.359Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
- +$491.55at 0.289Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
- +$450.08at 0.690US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$249.14at 0.445US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$225.00at 0.640Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 14:27 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 14:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.147 | $72.06 |
| 06-26 13:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1519999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-26 13:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 13:12 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999983 | $50.00 |
| 06-26 13:11 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.055999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-26 12:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $42.48 |
| 04-12 22:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $197.76 |
| 04-07 11:07 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.4489306461 | $200.00 |
| 04-06 10:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.64 | $97.12 |
| 04-06 10:49 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.4589897623 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 10:49 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.4384369706 | $80.00 |
| 04-02 22:06 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 22:04 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.173028342 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 22:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |