PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yellowman8

0x9d6d464288c9518eba0e61dbdbabc989de93e803

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$193.5k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9030.822$1.8k$174.23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8200.920$920.50+$100.50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.370$462.50$75.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7860.959$383.40+$69.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5760.834$289.45+$89.45
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.004$105.30$105.30
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.4300.145$40.60$79.80
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.180$36.00$15.90
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$10.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.5450.000$0.00$218.00
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3) · Top Esports0.2260.000$0.00$561.46
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$49.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) · KT Rolster0.3800.000$0.00$551.00
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$152.21
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$128.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 01:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.82$820.00
07-27 03:28Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.979$39.16
07-27 03:28Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.98$83.30
07-27 03:27Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.9797863248$229.27
07-19 00:03Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.16$128.00
07-14 01:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.981$1.6k
07-14 01:19Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9121583782$143.98
07-05 08:05LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.7599999994$160.00
07-05 08:01Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?BUY0.32$49.99
06-30 07:09Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$6.01
06-19 03:38Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?BUY0.014$5.00
06-19 01:01Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?BUY0.0370406474$10.00
06-14 13:49Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.786$314.40
05-29 09:17Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0379999999$391.00
05-11 05:38Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0523082694$21.48