PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yellowman8

0x9d6d464288c9518eba0e61dbdbabc989de93e803

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$196.7k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9030.994$2.1k+$196.92
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8200.969$968.50+$148.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7860.971$388.20+$73.80
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.305$381.25−$156.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5760.863$299.35+$99.35
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.005$128.70−$81.90
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1800.225$75.38+$15.07
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1400.235$51.70+$20.90
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.4300.155$43.40−$77.00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.150$30.00−$21.90
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Karmine Corp0.5400.000$0.00−$54.00
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · CTBC Flying Oyster0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 04:20LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.41$20.50
10-31 04:19LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.42$21.00
10-31 04:18LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4$20.00
10-31 04:18LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.74$148.00
10-27 02:36LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.22$22.00
10-27 02:31LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.62$124.00
10-25 02:35LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.47$23.50
10-25 02:09Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?BUY0.012$30.00
10-25 02:07LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.7$70.00
10-24 05:55LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.75$112.50
10-24 05:54LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.71$106.50
10-24 05:54LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.54$54.00
10-24 05:53LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.67$67.00
10-20 11:43LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.79$395.00
10-15 05:31Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.18$60.30