yellowman8
0x9d6d464288c9518eba0e61dbdbabc989de93e803
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $192.5k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.344LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$578.00at 0.320LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)
- +$414.10at 0.709Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$376.50at 0.560Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$347.99at 0.130LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 03:28 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.979 | $39.16 |
| 07-27 03:28 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.98 | $83.30 |
| 07-27 03:27 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.9797863248 | $229.27 |
| 07-19 00:03 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $128.00 |
| 07-14 01:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.981 | $1.6k |
| 07-14 01:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9121583782 | $143.98 |
| 07-05 08:05 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.7599999994 | $160.00 |
| 07-05 08:01 | Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $49.99 |
| 06-30 07:09 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $6.01 |
| 06-19 03:38 | Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 01:01 | Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic? | BUY | 0.0370406474 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 13:49 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.786 | $314.40 |
| 05-29 09:17 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0379999999 | $391.00 |
| 05-11 05:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0523082694 | $21.48 |
| 05-03 13:12 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0299999997 | $100.00 |