PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yellowman8

0x9d6d464288c9518eba0e61dbdbabc989de93e803

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$192.5k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9030.880$1.9k$47.99
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.490$612.50+$75.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7860.887$355.00+$40.60
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5760.805$279.56+$79.56
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.011$245.70+$35.10
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.4300.255$71.40$49.00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.230$46.00$5.90
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$10.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · Anyones Legend0.5450.000$0.00$218.00
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3) · Top Esports0.2260.000$0.00$561.46
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$49.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) · KT Rolster0.3800.000$0.00$551.00
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$152.21
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$128.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$686.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 03:28Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.979$39.16
07-27 03:28Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.98$83.30
07-27 03:27Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?BUY0.9797863248$229.27
07-19 00:03Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.16$128.00
07-14 01:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.981$1.6k
07-14 01:19Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9121583782$143.98
07-05 08:05LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.7599999994$160.00
07-05 08:01Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?BUY0.32$49.99
06-30 07:09Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$6.01
06-19 03:38Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?BUY0.014$5.00
06-19 01:01Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?BUY0.0370406474$10.00
06-14 13:49Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.786$314.40
05-29 09:17Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0379999999$391.00
05-11 05:38Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0523082694$21.48
05-03 13:12Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0299999997$100.00