Rainless
0x9d5e5f4ef1da8a652ea3696b19fdc089bd2c3921
- Realised P&L
- $454.94
- Volume
- $108.1k
- Markets traded
- 598
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded598
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$365.19at 0.294Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$211.13at 0.198Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$171.04at 0.349Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?
- +$152.45at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET
- +$150.47at 0.189Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:09 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:08 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 12:27 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.21 |
| 10-13 10:09 | Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-13 10:08 | Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-13 10:07 | Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 02:50 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8316831626 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 02:50 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1733475707 | $6.49 |
| 10-13 00:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 23:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999983 | $13.00 |
| 10-12 21:14 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.0126348527 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:25 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.061466871 | $19.05 |
| 10-12 18:22 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $21.69 |
| 10-11 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $11.39 |
| 10-11 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |