Alganda
0x9d5cd1913a02035ee217d35b6dfad8f4ffbc46c3
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $195.0k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $260.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.175 | $101.80 | −$38.20 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.037 | $51.00 | −$85.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.203 | $38.25 | +$13.25 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.104 | $32.05 | −$52.95 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $30.00 | −$79.91 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $6.11 | −$3.89 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.004 | $1.23 | −$15.77 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.478Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$449.17at 0.759Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$442.33at 0.841France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5
- +$368.61at 0.078Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$329.60at 0.198Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:23 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 08:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0469999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 14:21 | Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $38.72 |
| 10-24 16:45 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $98.66 |
| 10-24 16:45 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $102.81 |
| 10-24 16:43 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $291.82 |
| 10-24 14:53 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 12:57 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | SELL | 0.52 | $54.74 |
| 10-24 12:56 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.95 | $116.92 |
| 10-24 12:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 18:55 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6499999976 | $80.00 |
| 10-23 18:55 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 18:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 18:36 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.71 |
| 10-22 18:42 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |