PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9d434ce39d347e045ed7d4078735751c640375ac

Realised P&L
$-38.43
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
722
Open portfolio
$80.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded722
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$8.22$0.12
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$8.21$0.13
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$8.21$0.13
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$8.13$0.21
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.968$8.08$0.26
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$8.00$0.34
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$7.80$0.54
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.994$7.66$0.03
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$7.59$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$7.50$0.10
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9970.144$1.20$7.14
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · No0.9990.000$0.00$8.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.6790.000$0.00$7.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00$8.66
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.99$7.70
09-18 02:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.99$7.70
09-18 02:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$7.07
09-18 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$7.70
09-18 01:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$7.69
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.9899999704$7.69
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$7.69
09-17 23:56Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.997$7.69
09-17 22:55BNB Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.99$7.69
09-17 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.99$7.69
09-17 07:56Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.997$7.68
09-17 05:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.9986827048$7.68
09-16 20:57Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4PM ETBUY0.998$7.68
09-16 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$7.68
09-16 19:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$7.68