PolyBot

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Traders

0x9d3ac93b4daad27c1629541d4ecbafa34eeeece0

0x9d3ac93b4daad27c1629541d4ecbafa34eeeece0

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$122.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4830.287$80.17−$54.65
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.9500.950$35.52+$0.00
Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? · Yes0.1450.245$3.55+$1.45
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? · No0.7400.815$1.20+$0.11
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.8000.790$1.08−$0.01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5700.245$0.84−$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.7299999663$1.95
10-05 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.3799999069$1.47
10-05 00:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.25$8.55
10-03 23:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.6786384767$4.13
10-03 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.6499999393$1.07
10-03 23:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.7299999232$2.09
10-03 23:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.4662004839$12.27
10-03 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.6299999573$2.36
10-03 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.6299999629$1.19
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5699999986$43.69
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.632890833$39.27
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.539999995$42.99
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5126441607$35.32
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4673998229$33.09
10-03 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.47$14.10