0x9d3ac93b4daad27c1629541d4ecbafa34eeeece0
0x9d3ac93b4daad27c1629541d4ecbafa34eeeece0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $122.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.483 | 0.287 | $80.17 | −$54.65 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $35.52 | +$0.00 |
| Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.245 | $3.55 | +$1.45 |
| Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? · No | 0.740 | 0.815 | $1.20 | +$0.11 |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.790 | $1.08 | −$0.01 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.245 | $0.84 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.15at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$107.08at 0.116Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$78.91at 0.565Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$49.91at 0.212Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$45.03at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999663 | $1.95 |
| 10-05 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999069 | $1.47 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $8.55 |
| 10-03 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6786384767 | $4.13 |
| 10-03 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999393 | $1.07 |
| 10-03 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $2.09 |
| 10-03 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4662004839 | $12.27 |
| 10-03 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999573 | $2.36 |
| 10-03 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999629 | $1.19 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $43.69 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.632890833 | $39.27 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.539999995 | $42.99 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5126441607 | $35.32 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4673998229 | $33.09 |
| 10-03 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |