0x9D1bc53ca89462d6fAF938230B1700A813A4818A-1767909605691
0x9d1bc53ca89462d6faf938230b1700a813a4818a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $238.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.88at 0.245US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$60.00at 0.200Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$38.14at 0.207US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$-4.49at 0.330US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 12:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.022 | $7.74 |
| 09-29 12:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0307661769 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 12:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 12:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 09-29 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.30 |
| 09-29 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0126721956 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.009 | $8.37 |
| 09-29 11:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0089910269 | $5.01 |
| 09-29 11:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 09-26 22:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1460393585 | $30.49 |
| 09-26 22:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 20:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999992 | $9.50 |
| 09-25 20:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.0083630485 | $29.09 |