PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9D1bc53ca89462d6fAF938230B1700A813A4818A-1767909605691

0x9d1bc53ca89462d6faf938230b1700a813a4818a

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$36.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$238.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2090.135$202.54−$110.96
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? · No0.0130.006$7.56−$7.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? · No0.0290.018$6.38−$3.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 4? · No0.0330.017$5.15−$4.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3? · No0.0090.009$4.74−$0.27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? · No0.0090.005$4.65−$3.72
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? · No0.0220.013$4.40−$3.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3? · No0.0800.038$2.04−$2.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · No0.0310.004$0.57−$4.43
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$30.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$25.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$24.00
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$60.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$95.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$53.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 12:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2?BUY0.022$7.74
09-29 12:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?BUY0.0307661769$5.00
09-29 12:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4?BUY0.013$10.00
09-29 12:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?BUY0.0289999999$10.00
09-29 12:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$35.00
09-29 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3?BUY0.08$4.30
09-29 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4?BUY0.0126721956$5.00
09-29 12:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?BUY0.009$8.37
09-29 11:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 4?BUY0.0329999999$10.00
09-29 11:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3?BUY0.0089910269$5.01
09-29 11:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$35.00
09-26 22:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1460393585$30.49
09-26 22:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$30.00
09-25 20:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1099999992$9.50
09-25 20:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.0083630485$29.09