Probs
0x9d12d54266643f08e660281a08e044627569bdf6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $503.1k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $274.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.091Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
- +$1.1kat 0.466League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1
- +$1.1kat 0.540Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
- +$557.94at 0.457Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
- +$539.44at 0.722Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 04:37 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.32 | $37.65 |
| 09-25 03:08 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.719 | $339.37 |
| 09-25 03:08 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.962649994 | $400.13 |
| 09-25 03:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $124.46 |
| 09-20 17:13 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5696290939 | $153.58 |
| 09-20 17:06 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 22:40 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4200845357 | $161.01 |
| 09-06 13:39 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.0580970414 | $1.96 |
| 09-04 23:56 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $14.52 |
| 09-04 23:51 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.125 | $52.50 |
| 09-04 23:50 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.85 |
| 09-04 23:49 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1239144483 | $42.68 |
| 09-04 19:59 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $35.00 |
| 09-03 22:45 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.0426559947 | $3.86 |
| 09-03 22:44 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.0452623574 | $23.81 |