PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Probs

0x9d12d54266643f08e660281a08e044627569bdf6

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$503.1k
Markets traded
537
Open portfolio
$274.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded537
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1240.111$79.87−$10.13
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.7000.795$79.50+$9.50
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.3200.320$37.65+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$33.00−$7.00
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? · Yes0.5100.515$20.60+$0.20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.125$12.50−$2.50
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.051$9.74−$4.77
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0200.027$1.14+$0.30
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming · Weibo Gaming0.2900.000$0.00−$29.00
Will Elon Musk say "AGI / Artificial General Intelligence" during the August 6 AMA? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$72.00
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas · NIP0.1950.000$0.00−$17.25
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$9.62
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esports · Top Esports0.4470.000$0.00−$208.20
Will Powell say "Comment" during September press conference? · No0.2290.000$0.00−$57.89
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming · Weibo Gaming0.1460.000$0.00−$38.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:37Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.32$37.65
09-25 03:08Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.719$339.37
09-25 03:08Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.962649994$400.13
09-25 03:07Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.36$124.46
09-20 17:13Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.5696290939$153.58
09-20 17:06Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.7$70.00
09-14 22:40Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.4200845357$161.01
09-06 13:39Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.0580970414$1.96
09-04 23:56Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076$14.52
09-04 23:51Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.125$52.50
09-04 23:50Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.02$0.85
09-04 23:49Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.1239144483$42.68
09-04 19:59Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.5$35.00
09-03 22:45Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?SELL0.0426559947$3.86
09-03 22:44Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?SELL0.0452623574$23.81