FrozenTomato
0x9d06e96a2ee9cc7020488789448357dd2961c4e8
- Realised P&L
- $-541.63
- Volume
- $238.7k
- Markets traded
- 507
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded507
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.51at 0.530Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$98.00at 0.920Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$62.60at 0.915Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$60.65at 0.978Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
- +$55.82at 0.985Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:38 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $44.36 |
| 09-17 21:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $42.19 |
| 09-17 20:47 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 20:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.55 |
| 09-17 20:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.81 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $12.15 |
| 09-17 20:15 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.51 |
| 09-17 20:15 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.99 |
| 09-17 20:14 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 19:35 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 19:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.968 | $10.81 |
| 09-17 18:55 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.03 |