PolyBot

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Traders

Robbb

0x9cdda449d7cedf1072d74982a5dc2349df3d3e97

Realised P&L
$94.6k
Volume
$3.32M
Markets traded
4,911
Open portfolio
$99.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,911
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5490.835$4.2k+$1.4k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9750.984$4.0k+$36.08
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8040.865$3.9k+$275.94
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8600.863$2.3k+$5.63
Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.8830.905$2.3k+$53.95
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4690.381$2.3k−$524.29
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.3620.595$2.1k+$838.68
Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7840.825$1.9k+$91.34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4550.845$1.7k+$779.94
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Yes0.5170.205$1.5k−$2.3k
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9040.915$1.3k+$15.80
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0570.152$1.3k+$804.88
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7470.735$1.2k−$20.50
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3520.865$1.2k+$728.23
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.914$1.0k+$193.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:18Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.97$27.74
11-01 21:18Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?SELL0.7$14.00
11-01 21:18Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.96$251.52
11-01 21:17Will Tee Higgins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9553846154$86.94
11-01 21:10Will Dalton Kincaid have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.73$25.18
11-01 21:10Will Dalton Kincaid have 1.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9782363654$306.18
11-01 20:54Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9639357186$63.58
11-01 20:54Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9$18.90
11-01 20:31Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9653344714$180.96
11-01 20:31Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.6936072433$192.28
11-01 20:10Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.23$161.11
11-01 19:56Will Tee Higgins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.8871428571$124.20
11-01 19:45Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.4965588333$297.94
11-01 19:44Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.83$37.35
11-01 19:44Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.916$32.83