zdaadsgfa9
0x9cb5b9c1953171a4ed7527042199eb5228badc20
- Realised P&L
- $-254.88
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $365.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.989 | $188.38 | −$1.62 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $177.36 | +$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.92at 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$62.67at 0.750Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?
- +$5.32at 0.977Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
- +$4.31at 0.650Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$2.81at 0.972Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:36 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $190.00 |
| 09-18 05:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $177.00 |
| 08-15 06:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in August? | BUY | 0.9969999985 | $140.00 |
| 08-15 05:59 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $221.00 |
| 08-15 05:56 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $78.41 |
| 07-17 07:26 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $150.00 |
| 07-17 07:25 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $140.00 |
| 06-11 07:20 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $268.00 |
| 05-19 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999999 | $155.00 |
| 05-16 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $116.00 |
| 05-16 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999948 | $151.00 |
| 05-11 07:35 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.00 |
| 05-11 07:35 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $216.00 |
| 04-22 06:49 | Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.99 |
| 04-15 06:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $154.96 |