chrissueco
0x9cb04744fa41f1f67b8e195d1b2ed906f941eea0
- Realised P&L
- $-223.47
- Volume
- $79.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.537 | 0.795 | $3.6k | +$1.2k |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.659 | $309.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.955 | $95.45 | +$6.45 |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.765 | $15.30 | +$1.90 |
| Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.330 | $6.60 | −$2.20 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.80 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$364.08 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.608Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$956.90at 0.269Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$227.68at 0.305Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$133.55at 0.510Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$130.90at 0.984Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 06:47 | Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-17 06:46 | Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-17 06:45 | Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-17 06:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 10-17 06:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6439999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 06:38 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6439999714 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 11:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6689999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 22:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $220.00 |
| 10-10 22:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0817662738 | $378.70 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.147 | $109.51 |
| 08-23 08:16 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.50 |
| 05-22 14:59 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.053 | $26.50 |
| 05-22 14:57 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $13.75 |
| 05-16 01:43 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.2054961514 | $19.76 |
| 05-13 20:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |