JoeBlack01
0x9ca119b8cd7bdb890aecf1ff3b0f6e3a45cc13b5
- Realised P&L
- $102.9k
- Volume
- $9.03M
- Markets traded
- 929
- Open portfolio
- $84.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded929
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.535Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$9.4kat 0.562Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$7.8kat 0.608Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$7.1kat 0.202Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
- +$6.2kat 0.804Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $225.00 |
| 07-25 09:59 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.339999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-25 09:58 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.3300740126 | $125.00 |
| 07-25 09:41 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $273.00 |
| 07-25 09:35 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9557343249 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 20:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.6k |
| 07-24 18:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $501.32 |
| 07-24 09:35 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $1.3k |
| 07-24 09:25 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $186.30 |
| 07-23 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.633685919 | $2.2k |
| 07-23 19:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7623844569 | $3.4k |
| 07-23 19:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $894.21 |
| 07-23 16:04 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $139.16 |
| 07-23 16:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999989 | $182.00 |
| 07-23 15:47 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999959 | $47.00 |