PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JoeBlack01

0x9ca119b8cd7bdb890aecf1ff3b0f6e3a45cc13b5

Realised P&L
$102.9k
Volume
$9.03M
Markets traded
929
Open portfolio
$84.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded929
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6680.815$12.1k+$2.2k
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4990.455$8.3k$815.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8080.885$8.1k+$705.14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8130.805$7.6k$72.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7280.775$6.5k+$387.78
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5210.770$5.3k+$1.7k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6790.585$4.7k$749.92
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.6350.720$4.7k+$546.28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1350.278$3.8k+$1.9k
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · No0.8000.925$3.4k+$460.51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.7500.840$2.5k+$270.00
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6250.800$2.0k+$444.89
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0780.128$1.9k+$732.94
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0500.093$1.7k+$785.79
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5000.585$1.2k+$170.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 07:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.045$225.00
07-25 09:59US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.339999999$150.00
07-25 09:58US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.3300740126$125.00
07-25 09:41Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6$273.00
07-25 09:35Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9557343249$3.0k
07-24 20:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7$2.6k
07-24 18:43Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.83$501.32
07-24 09:35Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?BUY0.925$1.3k
07-24 09:25Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.69$186.30
07-23 19:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.633685919$2.2k
07-23 19:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.7623844569$3.4k
07-23 19:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?SELL0.9$894.21
07-23 16:04Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?BUY0.49$139.16
07-23 16:02Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999989$182.00
07-23 15:47Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999959$47.00