PolyBot

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Traders

pink.impala

0x9c976cfe2b51a92f9cc6ab889f30d16426f84569

Realised P&L
$-537.06
Volume
$929.4k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3840.335$598.14$87.76
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2520.185$306.84$111.73
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2440.245$269.50+$0.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.3510.180$181.49$172.16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2030.195$147.06$6.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.5040.395$122.84$33.92
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.1930.120$89.80$54.96
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · No0.0470.033$43.63$18.85
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.048$41.89$23.69
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · No0.1250.106$37.88$6.74
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.100$27.01+$2.70
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1380.085$8.50$5.25
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.013$7.63$50.09
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0110.005$6.94$7.47
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$5.40$5.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:09Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?BUY0.033$0.66
09-17 18:31Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$24.31
09-17 17:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?SELL0.94$38.63
09-17 17:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?SELL0.943$27.73
09-16 19:40Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.06$12.70
09-16 19:38Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.06$56.26
09-16 12:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.38$202.48
09-16 11:58Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.19$13.52
09-16 11:58Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.6981163534$181.26
09-14 00:17Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.013$0.02
09-13 12:53Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.0382072024$11.37
09-13 12:23Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?BUY0.2690160247$19.14
09-13 12:22Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?BUY0.052$2.23
09-12 23:33Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.7$294.72
09-12 14:29Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.562$15.46