pink.impala
0x9c976cfe2b51a92f9cc6ab889f30d16426f84569
- Realised P&L
- $-537.06
- Volume
- $929.4k
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.312Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.201Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.306US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.600Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.070Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:09 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.66 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $24.31 |
| 09-17 17:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.94 | $38.63 |
| 09-17 17:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.943 | $27.73 |
| 09-16 19:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.70 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $56.26 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.38 | $202.48 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $13.52 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.6981163534 | $181.26 |
| 09-14 00:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.02 |
| 09-13 12:53 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.0382072024 | $11.37 |
| 09-13 12:23 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.2690160247 | $19.14 |
| 09-13 12:22 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.052 | $2.23 |
| 09-12 23:33 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.7 | $294.72 |
| 09-12 14:29 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.562 | $15.46 |