0x9c7bb2d42193d9f64cc9be49a5481bd906eee749
0x9c7bb2d42193d9f64cc9be49a5481bd906eee749
- Realised P&L
- $5.54
- Volume
- $339.75
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $21.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.883 | 0.886 | $8.03 | +$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.615 | $6.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.875 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.905 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.910 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.982 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.992 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.435 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.10at 0.319US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.58at 0.660Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
- +$1.55at 0.580Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$0.94at 0.560Saints vs. Ravens
- +$0.74at 0.460Jaguars vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.09 |
| 09-22 14:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 14:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 05:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 01:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 18:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.16 |
| 09-21 16:08 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:06 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 15:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.14 |
| 09-21 14:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 14:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 14:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 14:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.06 |
| 09-21 12:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.03 |