PolyBot

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Traders

0x9c2a5f2cff8f14142034aed312c4782a3ea47678

Realised P&L
$28.41
Volume
$37.5k
Markets traded
512
Open portfolio
$59.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded512
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.405$17.36+$11.36
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · Yes0.7240.765$6.34+$0.34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.5160.811$6.29+$2.29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.885$5.75+$4.77
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · No0.4950.610$4.93+$0.93
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$3.90$2.10
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0250.022$3.45$0.55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$2.06+$0.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.3890.189$1.94$2.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1400.135$1.93$0.07
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.7700.525$1.36$0.64
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.2060.046$1.35$4.65
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$1.00$1.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2380.085$0.71$1.29
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.050$0.59$1.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 15:54US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.5$2.00
08-06 02:04US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-05 22:24Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?BUY0.999$2.00
08-05 22:03Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August?BUY0.999$2.00
08-05 16:07Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs OsorioBUY0.99$2.00
08-05 16:01Solana Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-05 15:25Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.94$2.00
08-05 14:48Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
08-05 08:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.515999999$2.00
08-05 08:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5159998824$2.00
08-05 08:36Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?SELL0.71$1.87
08-05 06:12Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.004$2.00
08-04 22:35Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 18:40Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.003$2.00
08-04 17:55CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?BUY0.9889999955$2.00