0x9c2a5f2cff8f14142034aed312c4782a3ea47678
- Realised P&L
- $28.41
- Volume
- $37.5k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $59.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.37at 0.196US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$59.24at 0.104Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$35.53at 0.024Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$16.65at 0.025Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$16.24at 0.307Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:54 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 02:04 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:24 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:03 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 16:07 | Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs Osorio | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 16:01 | Solana Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 15:25 | Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:48 | Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 08:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.515999999 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 08:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5159998824 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 08:36 | Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.87 |
| 08-05 06:12 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:35 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:40 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:55 | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | BUY | 0.9889999955 | $2.00 |