0x9bf8ac9f6fe885a5016ec14278c6df5d07a8b5e2
0x9bf8ac9f6fe885a5016ec14278c6df5d07a8b5e2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.36
- Volume
- $141.76
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.325 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.435 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9? · No | 0.400 | 0.175 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.08at 0.237WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
- +$3.36at 0.319Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.93at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$2.57at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:05 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:35 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:11 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 28 above $345? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:08 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:09 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |