Zaitzev
0x9bf80d5ae9fbecc2ed0b04b30f4d67d63320ba63
- Realised P&L
- $-14.87
- Volume
- $640.07
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $8.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.255 | $6.27 | −$4.05 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.983 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.680 | 0.695 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.41 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.16at 0.540Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
- +$1.07at 0.487Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$0.65at 0.720French election called by October 17?
- +$0.63at 0.760Nothing Ever Happens: July
- +$0.53at 0.790Will Nice win on 2025-10-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:33 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 13:47 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 22:21 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 16:57 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.9419991145 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 15:19 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.889999822 | $2.05 |
| 06-21 18:31 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.81 |
| 06-18 17:55 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.82 |
| 06-10 10:36 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 16:59 | Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 16:07 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.999 | $1.84 |
| 06-05 15:41 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | SELL | 0.09 | $0.15 |