Leuler271
0x9be69c4f9bfbc26abb1d17244425a77e254740fb
- Realised P&L
- $-13.60
- Volume
- $440.56
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$2.27at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$2.00at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$1.97at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 21:27 | Will Nike say "Quarter" 25+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0990089207 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:26 | Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:07 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.0457693219 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 20:51 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |