PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9b85132ffff8a6ff96db5099c440ec1c24d789d1

0x9b85132ffff8a6ff96db5099c440ec1c24d789d1

Realised P&L
$240.43
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$44.05

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2500.332$20.69+$5.11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0590.083$8.39+$2.39
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.018$4.27+$1.27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.018$3.27−$0.73
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? · Yes0.2400.235$2.94−$0.06
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.0400.038$2.89−$0.11
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0240.006$1.35−$3.65
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.013$0.26−$4.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:45Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?BUY0.24$3.00
09-25 15:09OPEC dissolves in 2026?BUY0.04$3.00
09-25 15:02No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0241294109$5.00
09-25 14:59Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.25$15.58
09-25 14:57Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?SELL0.9342092664$199.82
09-12 09:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$4.00
09-11 11:36Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0589999996$6.00
09-11 11:33Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.2789999989$24.01
08-02 20:56Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.0782234774$10.00
08-02 20:49Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$2.00
08-02 20:40Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0129999958$3.00
08-02 20:40Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0219999947$4.00
07-09 21:25France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.16$3.00
07-06 18:59Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.1199999748$4.00
07-04 21:45Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?BUY0.1099999685$3.00