0x9b83a8d2b59b48bdbb57530d9a688a5366592f5f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $138.84
Can you copy this trader?
unknown — No blocker in what little is known, but the signals that catch a lucky streak are missing. Inspect the wallet directly before drawing a conclusion.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.32at 0.206Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:22 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1849999797 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:18 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:13 | Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? | BUY | 0.0729842889 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.77 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:09 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |