0x9b6BA6Ce84D1E379323FB936cbf62cec547172c8-1772447865871
0x9b6ba6ce84d1e379323fb936cbf62cec547172c8
- Realised P&L
- $-176.10
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $38.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.437 | 0.447 | $20.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.611 | 0.300 | $9.82 | −$10.18 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026? · No | 0.939 | 0.813 | $8.66 | −$1.34 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? · Up | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:05 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.6109999923 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 21:05 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9389999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:01 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4369999942 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 13:46 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 13:42 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999909 | $15.00 |
| 03-02 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 03-02 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $14.57 |
| 03-02 14:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 03-02 14:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.0017574435 | $15.00 |
| 03-02 10:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.0312383832 | $40.00 |