0x9b3b62106bfd540dd5c68923d1a027536e319420
0x9b3b62106bfd540dd5c68923d1a027536e319420
- Realised P&L
- $-6.27
- Volume
- $138.29
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $3.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.870 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.876 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.75at 0.369S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:35 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:21 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:51 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:13 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:08 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7329998666 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |