PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mayday2

0x9b3195b3dfd3449e75804aba9229ca688b2e5eab

Realised P&L
$-2.74
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4370.575$1.5k+$353.57
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.715$1.4k+$70.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6460.795$952.63+$178.95
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2120.182$687.88−$115.12
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9850.995$504.82+$4.82
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5260.605$336.38+$43.82
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5780.645$322.50+$33.33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6600.615$184.50−$13.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.340$105.40+$18.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9970.999$49.56+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:07Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026?BUY0.985$500.00
09-25 15:55Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5995714286$209.85
09-25 15:20Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$29.50
09-24 02:04Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.65$325.00
09-23 17:11Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4641666667$139.25
09-23 06:47Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4337555$173.50
09-23 06:39Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.997$49.48
09-23 06:382026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.66$198.00
09-23 06:32Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.218$283.40
09-23 06:22Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3558964$177.95
09-23 06:21Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.52$47.32
09-23 06:20Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.291$2.91
09-23 06:19Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2069445221$413.16
09-23 06:16Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.279625$83.89
09-23 06:15Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.68$1.4k