Mayday2
0x9b3195b3dfd3449e75804aba9229ca688b2e5eab
- Realised P&L
- $-2.74
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.437 | 0.575 | $1.5k | +$353.57 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.715 | $1.4k | +$70.00 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.646 | 0.795 | $952.63 | +$178.95 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.182 | $687.88 | −$115.12 |
| Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.995 | $504.82 | +$4.82 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.605 | $336.38 | +$43.82 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.645 | $322.50 | +$33.33 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.660 | 0.615 | $184.50 | −$13.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.340 | $105.40 | +$18.60 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $49.56 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.53at 0.481Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 04:07 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $500.00 |
| 09-25 15:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5995714286 | $209.85 |
| 09-25 15:20 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $325.00 |
| 09-23 17:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4641666667 | $139.25 |
| 09-23 06:47 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4337555 | $173.50 |
| 09-23 06:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.48 |
| 09-23 06:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 09-23 06:32 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.218 | $283.40 |
| 09-23 06:22 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3558964 | $177.95 |
| 09-23 06:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $47.32 |
| 09-23 06:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.291 | $2.91 |
| 09-23 06:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2069445221 | $413.16 |
| 09-23 06:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.279625 | $83.89 |
| 09-23 06:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.4k |