0xdd52274BC6cF1EB642AE3d852B87038A67c5A779
0x9b2196ee608d748a1d73ac5f7c1825ca295ad050
- Realised P&L
- $-11.58
- Volume
- $300.06
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $44.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$1.88at 0.615Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.50at 0.280Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.08at 0.0919.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 08:54 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.082 | $0.49 |
| 07-17 08:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.268 | $1.28 |
| 07-17 08:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9309997468 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:42 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:39 | Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:38 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:36 | Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6149999405 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 19:18 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:16 | Will anyone say "Queen" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E4 S3? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 19:15 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:14 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |