PolyBot

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Traders

Oxtave

0x9b194f619b5398e6be887af22d71bbc2d64b02b5

Realised P&L
$-160.76
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$52.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Team Vitality0.5000.435$17.40−$2.60
Will Team Vitality Win an International Event in 2026? · Yes0.1850.265$10.86+$3.27
Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026? · Yes0.1520.086$8.45−$6.55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1600.120$7.50−$2.50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 18, 2026? · Yes0.0060.020$3.33+$2.33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$3.33−$0.30
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026? · Yes0.0020.004$1.15+$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.1110.000$0.00−$20.00
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner · Nemiga Gaming0.5800.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 1 Villarreal CF? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$0.83
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs · ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix0.0330.000$0.00−$7.26
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.0680.000$0.00−$23.49
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Villarreal CF? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$10.00
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · NRG0.4600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 23:35Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.006$3.63
10-14 22:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
10-14 22:50Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?BUY0.002$0.51
10-14 22:49Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 18, 2026?BUY0.006$1.00
10-14 22:46Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.0108690242$0.83
10-14 10:58Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.579999997$50.00
10-13 18:49Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BSELL0.5$35.18
10-13 18:21Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BBUY0.7105356612$50.00
10-13 17:12LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsBUY0.0330559348$7.26
10-13 15:52Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.0398981002$9.70
10-13 13:48Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0520345305$7.52
10-13 12:25Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.1341628563$13.79
10-11 22:26Will Team Vitality Win an International Event in 2026?BUY0.1851207612$7.59
10-11 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?SELL0.71$27.84
10-11 14:45Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?SELL0.4621335609$21.66