Nicksha077
0x9b188d58cdb9889d73a66f9fa89e6ade10ada41e
- Realised P&L
- $-22.68
- Volume
- $432.46
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $19.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.26at 0.670Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.87at 0.630Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$2.57at 0.218Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$1.59at 0.562Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?
- +$1.22at 0.450US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:51 | Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 04:50 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 04:50 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 21:39 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 04:25 | Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 04:24 | Will the UK Budget include a wealth tax? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 04:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 04:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 04:12 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 04:12 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.9309999711 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 04:10 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 04:07 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 04:06 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |