Victory5
0x9b0e83745c063ab17174920f0f2bf6b1fc9c47ae
- Realised P&L
- $35.22
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $149.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.990 | $98.95 | +$2.35 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.363 | $36.30 | −$1.40 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.971 | $14.50 | +$0.16 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.00 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 5? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.04 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · No | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics · Bucks | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yes | 0.937 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.40 |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) · Hernandez | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.00at 0.450Kings vs. Wizards
- +$249.50at 0.500Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 5?
- +$61.02at 0.695Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$48.00at 0.840LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
- +$45.00at 0.910Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 22:50 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $14.34 |
| 09-19 06:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.17 |
| 08-14 04:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999466 | $13.96 |
| 07-12 02:18 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? | BUY | 0.9969999689 | $13.80 |
| 06-08 02:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.94 |
| 05-03 04:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.985 | $12.80 |
| 05-03 04:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 04-07 03:12 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 04-07 03:12 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.377 | $37.70 |
| 03-27 06:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 03-27 06:08 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 06:07 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 06:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 03-27 06:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 03-27 06:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |