BetVisionary
0x9b00d0f9f193cd8e0231f5e30b7e5d43905ea905
- Realised P&L
- $-0.02
- Volume
- $515.82
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.030 | $0.71 | −$0.22 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.032 | $0.39 | −$0.60 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.011 | $0.16 | −$0.89 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.57at 0.745Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$0.98at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$0.90at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.18at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8899998469 | $1.57 |
| 08-13 11:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7599998141 | $3.27 |
| 07-30 03:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.05 |
| 07-09 05:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999258 | $1.08 |
| 06-30 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $2.94 |
| 06-24 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.56 |
| 05-31 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999677 | $1.09 |
| 05-28 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999369 | $2.22 |
| 05-25 03:00 | SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? | BUY | 0.9689999956 | $4.84 |
| 04-25 13:24 | Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.99 |