PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BetVisionary

0x9b00d0f9f193cd8e0231f5e30b7e5d43905ea905

Realised P&L
$-0.02
Volume
$515.82
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$1.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes0.0400.030$0.71$0.22
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0800.032$0.39$0.60
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0680.011$0.16$0.89
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.8899998469$1.57
08-13 11:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.7599998141$3.27
07-30 03:25Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.87$1.05
07-09 05:03Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8899999258$1.08
06-30 19:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.96$2.94
06-24 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.6$1.56
05-31 17:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.8799999677$1.09
05-28 06:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.6999999369$2.22
05-25 03:00SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?BUY0.9689999956$4.84
04-25 13:24Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.99$4.99