05005
0x9afeaa84ba61d876f04575c7cb667853f173062a
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $239.5k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.469Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$847.77at 0.780Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$820.93at 0.370Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$702.85at 0.305Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
- +$493.98at 0.185Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:36 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $464.22 |
| 10-31 11:00 | Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.92 |
| 10-31 08:26 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | SELL | 0.0980183333 | $29.41 |
| 10-30 18:56 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.6989949091 | $476.00 |
| 10-29 20:50 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.54 | $171.60 |
| 10-29 17:05 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $347.93 |
| 10-27 21:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 10-26 22:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.73 | $583.99 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7838772887 | $400.00 |
| 10-25 21:16 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | SELL | 0.38 | $130.34 |
| 10-25 20:16 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? | SELL | 0.67108 | $335.54 |
| 10-25 20:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7090232205 | $354.50 |
| 10-25 12:20 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-25 09:39 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.51 | $21.97 |
| 10-24 13:27 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | BUY | 0.6479638863 | $430.00 |