PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rolffeathers

0x9ac32e72baa26dd777e91f00699fb68dfa02d186

Realised P&L
$-9.81
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$2.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.625$0.96−$0.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.6700.480$0.72−$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.135$0.45−$0.55
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.085$0.40−$0.60
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.028$0.28−$0.72
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 13? · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Trieste: Federico Bondioli vs Joel Schwaerzler · Joel Schwaerzler0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 10:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-22 05:542026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-22 05:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.8269998925$1.00
09-16 05:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-16 05:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-13 13:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.6569997812$1.00
07-23 16:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?SELL0.009$0.01
07-23 16:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.7309998333$1.00
07-22 10:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.7359999894$5.00
07-18 05:58France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-18 05:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-15 13:35Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5169994944$1.00
07-15 05:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.55$1.00
07-14 16:46Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3174998135$1.00
07-09 14:11Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2474998162$1.00