D-v
0x9a9945a0d00e1fe66a9656380880ccefcb1c116e
- Realised P&L
- $-79.70
- Volume
- $118.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.844 | $1.9k | +$790.05 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.512 | $1.2k | +$28.75 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.487 | $1.1k | −$28.75 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.157 | $359.95 | −$790.05 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.981 | $199.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? · No | 0.560 | 1.000 | $1.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? · No | 0.510 | 0.485 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.480 | 0.034 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? · No | 0.680 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.73at 0.550Will Regan Smith (USA) win Gold in 100m Women's Backstroke?
- +$2.67at 0.919Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$1.41at 0.780Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
- +$1.04at 0.960Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$0.75at 0.930Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:48 | Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9819999989 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 14:16 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.0k |
| 05-18 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:03 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 05-18 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 21:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 03-26 21:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9489999721 | $10.00 |
| 03-26 21:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | SELL | 0.998 | $399.89 |