TonyLeon
0x9a9735125602ff64b769a8c9e1c7098977402ea8
- Realised P&L
- $280.89
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $515.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.09at 0.177Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.23at 0.450Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$31.12at 0.799Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$23.32at 0.685Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$17.16at 0.748Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 16:28 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.43 |
| 09-04 14:22 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $22.00 |
| 09-04 14:21 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 15:43 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 15:42 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999891 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 15:39 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.996870846 | $68.69 |
| 09-03 01:56 | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0225155758 | $2.57 |
| 09-01 03:56 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7399999788 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 03:49 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 03:44 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.6759443318 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 15:45 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 15:28 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.7399999916 | $51.00 |
| 08-01 18:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2479999791 | $7.50 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999749 | $21.00 |
| 07-31 23:44 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $125.00 |