0x9a86e8f1db29873f74811509b74f1b914b8b07aa
0x9a86e8f1db29873f74811509b74f1b914b8b07aa
- Realised P&L
- $-3.55
- Volume
- $126.87
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $4.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · No | 0.210 | 0.275 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.845 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.700 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? · No | 0.470 | 0.545 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.050 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.430Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:57 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:49 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:35 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:20 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:48 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:34 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |