botinary
0x9a3cf6297c2fa6a9d03297f68168b3aad23bb94b
- Realised P&L
- $-94.58
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $10.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.295 | $7.39 | +$1.59 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.175 | $1.75 | −$0.80 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.009 | $1.35 | +$0.96 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.28 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.16at 0.647Londrina EC vs. Botafogo FC: Neither team to score first?
- +$17.65at 0.632Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$17.60at 0.120Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$13.98at 0.364AC Goianiense vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
- +$13.77at 0.082FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 20:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.25 |
| 10-28 22:56 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.51 |
| 10-27 23:19 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-25 22:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.325 | $1.63 |
| 10-25 09:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.788 | $11.82 |
| 10-24 10:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 22:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24? | BUY | 0.01195 | $1.20 |
| 10-23 10:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.771 | $3.85 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 10-08 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 10-08 00:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 23:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 20:26 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |