fullamount
0x9a06e9c95315c9ddf56a0f53dfc714a2f32a3800
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $15.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.104Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.7kat 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.2kat 0.222Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.530Spread: Patriots (-4.5)
- +$2.6kat 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 23:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $8.4k |
| 10-22 23:19 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 10-22 23:19 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $660.00 |
| 10-22 23:10 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $800.00 |
| 10-22 23:00 | Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $353.72 |
| 10-03 22:27 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.13 | $16.96 |
| 10-03 22:26 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.094 | $12.80 |
| 10-03 22:25 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0939999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 02:18 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $71.65 |
| 08-14 02:17 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $144.18 |
| 08-14 01:54 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.058 | $117.93 |
| 08-14 01:33 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $976.67 |
| 08-14 01:30 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $101.70 |
| 08-14 01:25 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $468.58 |
| 08-14 01:23 | Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.106 | $1.30 |