PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fullamount

0x9a06e9c95315c9ddf56a0f53dfc714a2f32a3800

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$1.31M
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9300.945$8.5k+$135.00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.1000.255$2.5k+$1.5k
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3650.255$1.0k−$439.99
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.065$650.00−$150.00
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · No0.1400.065$650.00−$749.99
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0600.095$614.37+$226.36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3300.295$590.00−$70.00
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0090.009$353.72+$0.02
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.0900.065$233.07−$89.63
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1040.076$2.87−$1.03
Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain0.0470.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$500.00
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$627.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 23:222026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.93$8.4k
10-22 23:19Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$600.00
10-22 23:19Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$660.00
10-22 23:10Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.08$800.00
10-22 23:00Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.009$353.72
10-03 22:27Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.13$16.96
10-03 22:26Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.094$12.80
10-03 22:25Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0939999999$100.00
08-14 02:18Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.14$71.65
08-14 02:17Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.06$144.18
08-14 01:54Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.058$117.93
08-14 01:33Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$976.67
08-14 01:30Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.09$101.70
08-14 01:25Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.43$468.58
08-14 01:23Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.106$1.30