PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x99fcD0674322296E2a19114f816BCFEac9569658-1761791079464

0x99fcd0674322296e2a19114f816bcfeac9569658

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$84.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8430.961$1.1k+$135.08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1690.040$434.50$1.4k
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.9000.855$85.50$4.50
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.071$71.40$848.60
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$8.50$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23? · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$230.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? · Up0.4500.000$0.00$90.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$98.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 27? · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$230.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? · Down0.4500.000$0.00$90.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2? · Down0.2300.000$0.00$92.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14? · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19? · Up0.0100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 05:01England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.45$315.00
04-23 14:01Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?BUY0.044$1.54
03-15 01:44Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.992$749.95
01-09 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?BUY0.5$200.00
12-12 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?BUY0.49$98.00
11-08 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.5$26.91
11-06 01:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.17$1.7k
11-06 01:31Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.043$21.50
11-01 03:56LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)BUY0.1299999989$100.00
10-31 14:47MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.7227722752$100.00
10-31 14:21Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9709999036$9.56
10-30 13:41Will Stable launch a token in 2025?BUY0.8118811841$10.00
10-30 13:36Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.939$9.39
10-30 02:54No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
10-30 02:52Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.6899999968$50.00