PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99F6D49711a91C4DBd9e28c48a3508FAE92F37fc-1760627151725

0x99f6d49711a91c4dbd9e28c48a3508fae92f37fc

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$23.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.3020.255$6.4k−$1.2k
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1970.240$4.8k+$850.38
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2810.125$3.8k−$4.7k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.3590.275$3.6k−$1.1k
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3750.445$2.8k+$440.29
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.1890.063$1.7k−$3.4k
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals · EDward Gaming0.1140.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$11.6k
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · Team WE0.1870.000$0.00−$1.9k
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Aurora0.2110.000$0.00−$955.10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · G2 Esports0.1500.000$0.00−$4.5k
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · JD Gaming0.2260.000$0.00−$2.3k
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$15.00
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · 1win0.5000.000$0.00−$4.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.3270.000$0.00−$98.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 05:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.65$65.00
10-22 23:05Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.071$67.38
10-20 14:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.02$21.36
10-20 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.93$449.11
10-20 10:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.12$12.00
10-20 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.5$50.00
10-20 10:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-20 10:062026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.63$63.00
10-20 09:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.25$100.00
10-20 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.42$84.00
10-20 09:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.53$106.00
10-20 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.275369$55.07
10-20 09:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.43$43.00
10-20 09:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.6799999981$100.00
10-20 08:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.46$117.76