PolyBot

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Traders

nightmare01

0x99e97b35f25d5a208716e8e5d1b8b295f809e2a7

Realised P&L
$-326.27
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$248.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.795$111.97+$11.97
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0100.011$34.50+$4.50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1160.102$30.34−$4.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.165$26.40+$5.60
Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · Yes0.4100.415$23.94+$0.29
Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · No0.5200.330$12.69−$7.31
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.0820.069$8.28−$1.56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.5790.000$0.00−$1.54
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 11:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?SELL0.0086009615$0.88
10-21 19:46Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.05$10.00
10-21 19:37Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?SELL0.36$24.73
10-21 19:26Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.2399999977$16.49
10-21 19:14Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.3109090909$17.10
10-21 18:21Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999994$18.55
10-21 18:17Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$13.10
10-16 14:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.0377647059$6.42
10-13 20:57Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.7460753532$76.04
10-13 20:50Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?SELL0.11$80.36
10-13 20:13Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5399999959$31.89
10-13 20:13Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5299999994$200.00
10-13 20:11Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.5791672554$100.00
10-13 20:08Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.709999998$100.00
10-13 20:03Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.3399999989$100.00