0x99c2673eE00b27fbB0D2c03021C30244d9059DF9-1761506454902
0x99c2673ee00b27fbb0d2c03021c30244d9059df9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $42.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $40.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.002 | $13.92 | −$390.61 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.002 | $9.24 | −$179.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down | 0.790 | 1.000 | $6.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $6.14 | −$98.84 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.001 | $2.41 | −$66.58 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.001 | $2.06 | −$92.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.92 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.43at 0.554Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$44.37at 0.458No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$26.04at 0.480Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$2.16at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$2.09at 0.720Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 11:50 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999995 | $50.00 |
| 04-27 19:02 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 04-05 18:56 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0061495104 | $25.00 |
| 04-05 18:56 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 18:56 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0126079532 | $25.00 |
| 04-05 18:56 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0204663761 | $25.00 |
| 03-19 16:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 08:52 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0514301386 | $100.54 |
| 03-06 16:24 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0887407665 | $40.00 |
| 03-06 16:23 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0431832349 | $40.00 |
| 03-02 08:18 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 03-02 08:18 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 03-02 08:14 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0097478751 | $20.00 |