PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99c2673eE00b27fbB0D2c03021C30244d9059DF9-1761506454902

0x99c2673ee00b27fbb0d2c03021c30244d9059df9

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$42.2k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$40.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0580.002$13.92$390.61
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0310.002$9.24$179.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down0.7901.000$6.33+$1.33
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$6.14$98.84
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0140.001$2.41$66.58
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0230.001$2.06$92.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$14.92
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 09:05Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.7899999826$5.00
05-10 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
05-08 11:50Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0259999995$50.00
04-27 19:02Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.005$15.00
04-05 18:56Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0061495104$25.00
04-05 18:56Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.007$5.00
04-05 18:56Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0126079532$25.00
04-05 18:56Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0204663761$25.00
03-19 16:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
03-17 08:52Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0514301386$100.54
03-06 16:24Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0887407665$40.00
03-06 16:23Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0431832349$40.00
03-02 08:18Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.06$9.00
03-02 08:18Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
03-02 08:14Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0097478751$20.00