PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BondSolo

0x9995d54ecf4eab96e1bdfcf519b12c447e28d0d3

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$283.1k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4300.635$1.3k+$410.00
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.8500.831$1.2k−$26.60
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.064$426.29+$56.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1800.855$342.00+$270.00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.4800.545$272.50+$32.50
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4810.543$179.35+$20.66
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6350.805$177.83+$37.60
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2860.190$108.88−$55.04
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3300.280$66.43−$11.86
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9100.110$4.91−$35.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$1.3k
09-07 19:28Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?BUY0.94$15.04
08-20 18:29Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.48$240.00
08-20 18:28Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4809090909$158.70
08-20 18:28Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.6825028268$272.82
08-13 23:30Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.79$7.90
08-12 22:05Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.999$40.00
08-12 22:04Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?BUY0.999$100.00
08-12 21:51Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.1531428571$5.36
08-12 04:05Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.64$128.00
08-12 04:04Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.5852175992$12.24
08-07 23:12Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.471$41.73
08-07 23:12Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.471$39.93
08-06 18:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.26$195.00
08-06 14:33Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$78.30