hannah.b-99
0x9992f93c5af47bf6554e964575d114f0b04069ef
- Realised P&L
- $14.65
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $213.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.943 | 0.955 | $64.05 | +$0.80 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No | 0.940 | 0.940 | $62.33 | +$0.00 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · No | 0.964 | 0.946 | $47.50 | −$0.90 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $40.04 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.954No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.51at 0.932Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$1.44at 0.972US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
- +$1.41at 0.950Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?
- +$1.26at 0.955USDC depeg by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 12:18 | Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | SELL | 0.917 | $10.82 |
| 04-07 12:44 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9319999977 | $20.64 |