PolyBot

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Traders

Yishtabach-Shemo

0x998616f831c6c241bf7ba7601bd2653ad9c727ae

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$174.1k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$45.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1330.065$9.75−$10.25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? · No0.3000.265$8.83−$1.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2400.205$8.61−$1.47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 1? · No0.1500.145$3.87−$0.13
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0420.032$3.76−$1.24
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0700.065$3.44−$0.26
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1500.150$3.00+$0.00
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0700.065$2.32−$0.18
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5900.049$1.25−$13.75
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31? · Yes0.1000.035$1.06−$1.94
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$9.66
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$16.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$21.53
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.6380.000$0.00−$74.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:14WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1?BUY0.299999994$10.00
10-01 08:09WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 1?BUY0.1499999981$4.00
09-30 23:08FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?BUY0.1$3.00
09-30 22:56Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0418743768$5.00
09-30 22:54Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0699999994$2.50
09-30 22:53Will Gibraltar win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0699999998$3.70
09-30 17:56Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5899999957$15.00
09-30 14:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 30?BUY0.1$2.08
09-30 13:36WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 30?SELL0.72$36.89
09-30 00:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 30?BUY0.4002427372$20.51
09-29 18:24Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?SELL0.999$30.27
09-29 12:32WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 29?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-29 09:05Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-29 08:53Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.15$3.00
09-29 07:40Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.07$7.00